April heavy-, medium-duty truck orders fell

April heavy-, medium-duty truck orders fell

Crawford highlighted that medium-duty demand only declined y/y by single digits, a change of pace compared to the previous two months.

Research found from ACT Research found that North American Class 8 net orders in April were at 11,600 units, down 27% year-over-year (-39% month-over-month), while preliminary Classes 5-7 net orders were at 18,000 units, down 10% y/y (-6% m/m).

ā€œGiven robust Class 8 orders into year end, ensuing backlog support, and normal seasonal order patterns, orders were expected to moderate into Q2; we expected [standalone] orders in a range of 15-20k units per month into mid-Q3 of 2023. Coupling those items with increasingly cautious readings from the ACT Class 8 Dashboard, April orders were weaker than expected on a standalone basis but bring the YTD monthly [standalone] average to 17,500, squarely in line with our view,ā€ shared Eric Crawford, vice president and senior analyst at ACT Research.

ā€œThe recent turmoil in the banking sector likely tightened credit conditions for some industry participants and may have played a factor in exacerbating Aprilā€™s weakness,” he added. “Thus, while we expect orders to remain at subdued levels into mid-Q3, we are not inclined to think Aprilā€™s order activity represents the likely run rate going forward.ā€

Additionally, Crawford highlighted that medium-duty demand only declined y/y by single digits, a change of pace compared to the previous two months. He stated that April Classes 5-7 orders declined 10% y/y (-6% m/m) to 18,000 units.

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