ACT Research says half of all commercial vehicles will be zero emissions by 2040

ACT Research says half of all commercial vehicles will be zero emissions by 2040

By 2027, eight states will have joined California in adopting Advanced Clean Trucks, resulting in moderate growth in adoption rates.

According to ACT Research’s recently released edition of its Charging Forward study, the adoption rates for zero-emission and decarbonization vehicles will reach 25% by 2030 and 50% by 2040. The study notes that regulations are a key factor in the earlier years, particularly for higher GVW applications, while many lower GVW applications already provide a better total cost of ownership (TCO) today.

“We forecast a relatively low adoption rate from 2024 through 2026, reflecting the fact that BEV sales of commercial vehicles are still in their early years,” noted Ann Rundle, vice president of electrification and autonomy at ACT Research. “This begins to change in 2027, in part due to the cost increases for diesels because of the increased stringency of U.S. EPA’s 2027 low-NOx regulations. In addition, by 2027, eight states will have joined California in adopting Advanced Clean Trucks, resulting in moderate growth in adoption rates.”

By 2030 ACT Research is forecasting 25% adoption rates, as by then the remaining nine states that signed the MOU to adopt CARB Advanced Clean Trucks will have enacted those regulations. Additionally, it is assumed by the study that improved battery technology will negate battery replacement costs, and charging infrastructure utilization will significantly increase, decreasing those costs in the TCO.

Rundle concluded, “By 2040 we are forecasting that adoption of ZEVs will account for just slightly above 50%—essentially half of all CVs will be zero emissions, primarily BEVs.”

You May Also Like

Freightliner produces one millionth Cascadia

Introduced in 2007, the Freightliner Cascadia has seen a number of iterations and improvements on the road to 1 million trucks.

Freightliner-Cascadia-collage

Freightliner celebrated a milestone with the production of the 1 millionth Freightliner Cascadia—which Daimler Truck North America says is the first Class 8 truck in North America to reach the seven-figure mark.

DTNA says the Cascadia started as an idea to develop a truck with new aerodynamic, lightweight, and uptime-improving features has since evolved through four generations of the platform. Since its original introduction, DTNA says the Cascadia has improved its fuel efficiency by more than 35%.

NACFE: natural gas can reduce GHG emissions

Natural gas may help cut trucking industry emissions, according to NACFE, but you need to weigh your options before making the switch.

NACFE-natural-gas-reducing-greenhouse-gas-emissions
Fontaine Specialized announces Magnitude 75 lowbed

The Magnitude 75 comes in three distinct deck options: flat (MFLD), drop side rail (MDSR), and beam (MBMD).

Fontaine-Specialized-lowbed-trailers
Peninsula Truck Lines gets awards for customer service

The company received the highest Net Promoter Score at 84.8%. The average score of carriers in the study was 44.8%.

Peninsula-truck-lines-generic-truck
Vipar Heavy Duty hires new director of business for Latin America

Cinthya Rivera has more than seven years of experience in sales and market development, primarily in the commercial vehicle industry.

VIPAR-Heavy-Duty-Cinthya-Rivera

Other Posts

Commercial tire market cautiously recovering from 2023 challenges

To better understand commercial tire expectations for the remainder of the year, we spolke with Pierluigi Cumo, VP of B2B products at Michelin North America.

Michelin-truck-tires
More women, younger generations buying trucks

Understanding who is buying trucks, where they’re looking and what they’re looking for is crucial when it comes to marketing your vehicles.

Trucking-Market-Industry-Report-Generic-sales-generations-demographics
FTR: Diesel cost spikes as TCI falls in February

With a nearly 4 point fall, FTR says a spike in diesel prices is mainly to blame for the deterioration in market conditions for carriers.

FTR-Feb-TCI
Vipar Heavy Duty adds West Virginia Spring & Radiator

The company, based in Nitro, W.V., has been in business for more than 30 years.

VIPAR-Heavy-Duty-Latin-America-Expansion